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How many copies did The Bard's Tale Trilogy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 47k–77k
$196k–$526k after Steam's cut $356k–$809k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Bard's Tale Trilogy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Bard's Tale Trilogy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–25k
best case 300k (Legend of Grimrock 2)
Games like The Bard's Tale Trilogy

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–25k copies

≈ $36k–$96k after Steam's cut

from ~286 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Legend of Grimrock 2 at ≈ 229k–372k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (8 of 8) and Grid-Based Movement (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dungeon Crawler + Grid-Based Movement, priced around $24.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wizardry 7: Crusaders of the Dark Savant
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut
$4.99
280 reviews
Very Positive
Legend of Grimrock 2
2014
Est. copies
≈ 229k–372k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$23.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Legends of Amberland: The Forgotten Crown
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$50k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before Steam's cut
$19.99
313 reviews
Very Positive
RPGParty-Based RPG
Wizardry 6: Bane of the Cosmic Forge
2013
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$105k before Steam's cut
$4.99
292 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGAdventure
Crystal Rift
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before Steam's cut
$9.99
133 reviews
Mixed
AdventureIndie
Stonekeep
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before Steam's cut
$14.99
149 reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Grimoire : Heralds of the Winged Exemplar (V2)
2017
Est. copies
≈ 22k–35k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$60k–$161k after Steam's cut $109k–$248k before Steam's cut
$9.99
635 reviews
Mixed
Elminage ORIGINAL - Priestess of Darkness and The Ring of the Gods
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$34k before Steam's cut
$9.99
87 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.