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How many copies did Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50k–81k
$343k–$923k after Steam's cut $624k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rustler (Grand Theft Horse)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.9M–13.1M
best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Rustler (Grand Theft Horse)

A typical game among these

≈ 6.9M–13.1M copies

≈ $77.5M–$129.6M after Steam's cut

from ~205k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 200k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Medieval (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
204k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7.4M–12.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
298k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalStrategy
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut $50.8M–$115.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
205k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Kingdom Come: Deliverance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut $84.9M–$193.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
186k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalRPG
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG
Endless Thief: a Fluffy Stealth Adventure
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before Steam's cut
$4.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
StealthCrime
Medieval Delivery
2024
Est. copies
≈ 446–725
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$12.99
18 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureCasual

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