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How many copies did Creeper World 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 117k–191k
$807k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Creeper World 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Creeper World 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 56k–437k
best case 636k (Mechabellum)
Games like Creeper World 4

A typical game among these

≈ 56k–437k copies

≈ $112k–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mechabellum at ≈ 485k–788k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 109 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share RTS (5 of 8) and Real Time Tactics (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mechs + Auto Battler, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 436k–709k
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
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WargameVikings
Mechabellum
2024
Est. copies
≈ 485k–788k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
20k reviews
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StrategyMechs
Minimalist Tower Defense
2024
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$264k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Starship Troopers: Terran Command
2022
Est. copies
≈ 299k–486k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Attack on Toys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$58k–$156k after Steam's cut $106k–$241k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessAction RTS
Yokai Art: Night Parade of One Hundred Demons
2022
Est. copies
≈ 29k–48k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$56k–$152k after Steam's cut $102k–$233k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
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Sexual ContentRogue-lite
Pixel Starships
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Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Mostly Positive
Sci-fiSpace
Warpips
2022
Est. copies
≈ 130k–211k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$605k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$16.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTower Defense

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