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How many copies did A Long Way Down sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–9k
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $51k–$117k before Steam's cut
from 230 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Long Way Down and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Long Way Down's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 866k–3.5M
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like A Long Way Down

A typical game among these

≈ 866k–3.5M copies

≈ $7.2M–$37.8M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (7 of 8) and Deckbuilding (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
GWENT: The Witcher Card Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 690k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
28k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayStrategy
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Chrono Ark
2024
Est. copies
≈ 342k–555k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Library Of Ruina
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichCard Game
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Artifact
2018
Est. copies
≈ 753k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
25k reviews
Mixed
Card BattlerDeckbuilding

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.