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How many copies did Creative Destruction sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 552k–897k
from 18k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Creative Destruction and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Creative Destruction's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–15.3M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Creative Destruction

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–15.3M copies

≈ $68.3M–$136.1M after Steam's cut

from ~151k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 76k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (7 of 8) and Shooter (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SurvivalShooter
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Battlefield™ V
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Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare®
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ActionSingleplayer

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