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How many copies did Dead Island 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 740k–1.2M
$10.2M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.5M–$42.1M before Steam's cut
from 30k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dead Island 2 and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Dead Island 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.1M–18.7M
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Dead Island 2

A typical game among these

≈ 12.1M–18.7M copies

≈ $278.1M–$351.6M after Steam's cut

from ~234k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (4 of 5) and Shooter (4 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

theHunter: Call of the Wild™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
203k reviews
Very Positive
HuntingOpen World
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III
2015
Est. copies
≈ 11.4M–18.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
234k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerZombies
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.4M after Steam's cut $92.3M–$209.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
222k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSGore
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.