How much revenue did American Fugitive make?

$518k–$1.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did American Fugitive sell?

Q: How many copies did American Fugitive sell?

94k to 153k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 94k–153k; $518k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $941k–$2.1M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid American Fugitive and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including American Fugitive's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 512k–3.7M

best case 9.9M (RimWorld)

Games like American Fugitive

A typical game among these

≈ 512k–3.7M copies

≈ $4.2M–$24.1M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 744 to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (7 of 8) and Base-Building (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Don't Starve 2013	Est. copies ≈ 7.2M–11.7M 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $19.7M–$53.0M after Steam's cut $35.8M–$81.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	114k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
RUNNING WITH RIFLES 2015	Est. copies ≈ 819k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$14.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Top-Down ShooterAction
The Survivalists 2020	Est. copies ≈ 251k–408k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	CraftingSurvival
Big Ambitions 2026	Est. copies ≈ 372k–605k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut	$25.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessManagement
Foxhole 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.9M–$29.2M after Steam's cut $19.8M–$45.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	53k reviews Mostly Positive	Massively MultiplayerWargame
shapez 2020	Est. copies ≈ 396k–644k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Sands of Salzaar 2021	Est. copies ≈ 571k–929k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	23k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG