How much revenue did shapez make?

$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did shapez sell?

Q: How many copies did shapez sell?

396k to 644k copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 396k–644k; $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid shapez and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including shapez's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.3M

best case 9.1M (Satisfactory)

Games like shapez

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–1.3M copies

≈ $10.3M–$15.3M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Satisfactory at ≈ 6.9M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 29k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 184k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (7 of 8) and Building (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Base-Building, priced around $29. The breakout hits carry Crafting + Open World + Resource Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2020 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Satisfactory 2024	Est. copies ≈ 6.9M–11.3M 8.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingAutomation
Dyson Sphere Program 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	92k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationSpace
Factorio 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.9M–9.5M 6.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut	$35.00	236k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
The Planet Crafter 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$23.99	75k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
Timberborn 2026	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.0M–$26.9M after Steam's cut $18.2M–$41.4M before Steam's cut	$34.99	42k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	City BuilderVoxel
Dwarf Fortress 2022	Est. copies ≈ 783k–1.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim
Hydroneer 2020	Est. copies ≈ 708k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingMining