How much revenue did Mini Matches make?

$3k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mini Matches sell?

Q: How many copies did Mini Matches sell?

620 to 1k copies, based on its 25 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 620–1k; $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut; from 25 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mini Matches and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Mini Matches's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.1M–7.3M

best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)

Games like Mini Matches

A typical game among these

≈ 5.1M–7.3M copies

≈ $26.0M–$83.9M after Steam's cut

from ~126k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.5M–15.4M copies, ≈ $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Co-op (3 of 4) and 2D Fighter (1 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Stick Fight: The Game 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.3M–7.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	125k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFunny
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Split Fiction 2025	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	127k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-opSplit Screen
BattleBlock Theater® 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Co-op Platformer