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How many copies did Puzzle Agent 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 73k–119k
$101k–$271k after Steam's cut $183k–$417k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Puzzle Agent 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Puzzle Agent 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.0M
best case 1.7M (Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy)
Games like Puzzle Agent 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.0M copies

≈ $9.3M–$19.0M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Detective (7 of 8) and Mystery (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Visual Novel, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Murders on the Yangtze River
2024
Est. copies
≈ 528k–858k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Chants of Sennaar
2023
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Murdered: Soul Suspect
2014
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trilogy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveVisual Novel
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 981k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before Steam's cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle

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