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How many copies did ZED sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
from 169 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ZED and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ZED's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 61k–115k
best case 218k (Obduction)
Games like ZED

A typical game among these

≈ 61k–115k copies

≈ $413k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Obduction at ≈ 166k–270k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 815 reviews in their first month; the range was 479 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Exploration, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Obduction
2016
Est. copies
≈ 166k–270k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Firmament
2023
Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$393k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $714k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleAdventure
Dream
2015
Est. copies
≈ 49k–79k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$120k–$323k after Steam's cut $218k–$497k before Steam's cut
$8.99
996 reviews
Mixed
IndieAdventure
Riven
2024
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$689k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleAdventure
MIND: Path to Thalamus Enhanced Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$329k–$885k after Steam's cut $599k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Mixed
AdventurePuzzle
Kairo
2013
Est. copies
≈ 111k–180k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$152k–$409k after Steam's cut $277k–$630k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
PuzzleExploration
Myst
2021
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$528k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $960k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Red Matter
2018
Est. copies
≈ 36k–59k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$248k–$666k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
VRPuzzle

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