How much revenue did Red Matter make?

$248k–$666k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Red Matter sell?

Q: How many copies did Red Matter sell?

36k to 59k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 36k–59k; $248k–$666k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Red Matter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Red Matter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 128k–318k

best case 1.4M (BONEWORKS)

Games like Red Matter

A typical game among these

≈ 128k–318k copies

≈ $547k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: BONEWORKS at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (6 of 8) and Puzzle (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Physics, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Physics + Sandbox; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hyperbolica 2022	Est. copies ≈ 33k–53k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $117k–$315k after Steam's cut $213k–$485k before Steam's cut	$12.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SurrealExploration
The Lab 2016	Est. copies ≈ 278k–452k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayVR
BONEWORKS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	36k reviews Very Positive	VRPhysics
Obduction 2016	Est. copies ≈ 166k–270k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventurePuzzle
Gravitas 2019	Est. copies ≈ 206k–334k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayPuzzle
Rick and Morty: Virtual Rick-ality 2017	Est. copies ≈ 87k–141k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $717k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	AdventureVR
SUPERHOT VR 2017	Est. copies ≈ 334k–543k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	10k reviews Very Positive	VRShooter
Q.U.B.E: Director's Cut 2014	Est. copies ≈ 108k–175k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $296k–$797k after Steam's cut $539k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleIndie