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How many copies did ibb & obb sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 383k–623k
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ibb & obb and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ibb & obb's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–1.9M
best case 38.8M (Portal 2)
Games like ibb & obb

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–1.9M copies

≈ $7.7M–$22.2M after Steam's cut

from ~38k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Portal 2 at ≈ 29.5M–48.0M copies, ≈ $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 53 to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle-Platformer (5 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Story Rich, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Puzzle + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DDNet
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
47k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpFree to Play
It Takes Two
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$73.7M–$198.3M after Steam's cut $134.1M–$305.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
270k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Trine Enchanted Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerBeautiful
BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.3M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PICO PARK
2021
Est. copies
≈ 744k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
Trine 2: Complete Story
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Little Nightmares II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.0M–$32.3M after Steam's cut $21.8M–$49.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAdventure

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