How much revenue did Tale of Ninja: Fall of the Miyoshi make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tale of Ninja: Fall of the Miyoshi sell?

Q: How many copies did Tale of Ninja: Fall of the Miyoshi sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 58 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut; from 58 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tale of Ninja: Fall of the Miyoshi and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tale of Ninja: Fall of the Miyoshi's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k

best case 3.2M (Ghost of Tsushima DIRECTOR'S CUT)

Games like Tale of Ninja: Fall of the Miyoshi

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $3k–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~75 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Ghost of Tsushima DIRECTOR'S CUT at ≈ 2.4M–3.9M copies, ≈ $39.8M–$106.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 336 reviews in their first month; the range was 36 to 28k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action RPG (4 of 8) and Action-Adventure (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Ninja; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: 5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Ghost of Tsushima DIRECTOR'S CUT 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M 1296x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $39.8M–$106.9M after Steam's cut $72.3M–$164.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	97k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
ASTRAL TALE-星界神話 2024	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 7.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	575 reviews Mostly Negative	AdventureAction
NARUTO SHIPPUDEN: Ultimate Ninja STORM Revolution 2014	Est. copies ≈ 506k–821k 120x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	9k reviews Very Positive	AnimeFighting
Path of Redemption 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$6.99	61 reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Onimusha 2: Samurai's Destiny 2025	Est. copies ≈ 23k–37k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $189k–$509k after Steam's cut $344k–$783k before Steam's cut	$29.99	925 reviews Very Positive	ActionDark Fantasy
yebushou：defeat pirates 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $594–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut	$0.99	88 reviews Mixed	ActionAdventure
Katana Dragon 2026	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before Steam's cut	$9.99	75 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessRPG
Shadow of the Ninja - Reborn 2024	Est. copies ≈ 16k–26k 8.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $89k–$239k after Steam's cut $162k–$368k before Steam's cut	$19.99	652 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionSide Scroller