How much revenue did Pattern make?

$3k–$9k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Pattern sell?

Q: How many copies did Pattern sell?

843 to 1k copies, based on its 34 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 843–1k; $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut; from 34 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pattern and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pattern's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 16k–60k

best case 233k (Proteus)

Games like Pattern

A typical game among these

≈ 16k–60k copies

≈ $86k–$285k after Steam's cut

from ~578 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Proteus at ≈ 177k–288k copies, ≈ $487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 85 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 489.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Exploration + Walking Simulator, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PANELKI 2022	Est. copies ≈ 69k–112k 4.8x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $151k–$406k after Steam's cut $274k–$624k before Steam's cut	$7.99	3k reviews Very Positive	SnowAtmospheric
Sewer Rave 2021	Est. copies ≈ 8k–13k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	318 reviews Very Positive	CasualWalking Simulator
Proteus 2013	Est. copies ≈ 177k–288k 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $886k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	ExplorationWalking Simulator
MirrorMoon EP 2013	Est. copies ≈ 38k–62k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $158k–$425k after Steam's cut $288k–$654k before Steam's cut	$14.99	607 reviews Mixed	IndieExploration
The Catacombs of Solaris Revisited 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $19k–$50k after Steam's cut $34k–$77k before Steam's cut	$9.99	274 reviews Very Positive	PsychedelicExploration
Paradise Marsh 2022	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $56k–$150k after Steam's cut $101k–$231k before Steam's cut	$14.99	546 reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsProcedural Generation
Anemoiapolis: Chapter 1 2023	Est. copies ≈ 30k–49k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $74k–$199k after Steam's cut $135k–$306k before Steam's cut	$8.99	1k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
Exit From 2021	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $37k–$101k after Steam's cut $68k–$155k before Steam's cut	$9.99	549 reviews Very Positive	Horror Psychological Horror