How much revenue did Paradise Marsh make?

$56k–$150k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Paradise Marsh sell?

Q: How many copies did Paradise Marsh sell?

14k to 22k copies, based on its 546 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 14k–22k; $56k–$150k after Steam's cut $101k–$231k before Steam's cut; from 546 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paradise Marsh and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paradise Marsh's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k

best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)

Games like Paradise Marsh

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $2k–$6k after Steam's cut

from ~44 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (5 of 8) and Procedural Generation (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Exploration + Procedural Generation, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Procedural Generation + Open World Survival Craft + Space; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M 9580x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Proteus 2013	Est. copies ≈ 177k–288k 64x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $487k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $886k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	ExplorationWalking Simulator
Underground Keeper 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut	$4.99	56 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualIndie
Pattern 2020	Est. copies ≈ 843–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut	$14.99	34 reviews Mostly Positive	Walking SimulatorExploration
Overseas 2019	Est. copies ≈ 749–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $616–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$2.99	26 reviews Mostly Positive	IndieSimulation
Guppy 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut	$2.99	44 reviews Mixed	NatureUnderwater
Oneiro 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut	$4.99	50 reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerPerma Death
Open Ocean 2019	Est. copies ≈ 58–94 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $32–$85 after Steam's cut $58–$131 before Steam's cut	$1.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	NatureEducation