How much revenue did Steel Circus make?

Steel Circus is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How many copies did Steel Circus sell?

Q: How many copies did Steel Circus sell?

56k to 90k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 56k–90k; from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Steel Circus and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Steel Circus's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 719k–1.1M

best case 1.2M (eFootball PES 2021 SEASON UPDATE)

Games like Steel Circus

A typical game among these

≈ 719k–1.1M copies

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: eFootball PES 2021 SEASON UPDATE at ≈ 945k–1.5M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sports (8 of 8) and Football (Soccer) (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Sports + Football (Soccer).
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Football Manager 2021 2020	Est. copies ≈ 591k–961k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	24k reviews Very Positive	SportsSimulation
Football Manager 2020 2019	Est. copies ≈ 912k–1.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	SimulationSports
eFootball PES 2020 2019	Est. copies ≈ 752k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	26k reviews Mostly Positive	SportsFootball (Soccer)
Football Manager 2019 2018	Est. copies ≈ 379k–617k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	12k reviews Very Positive	SimulationSports
Football Manager 2022 2021	Est. copies ≈ 534k–867k SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	22k reviews Very Positive	SportsManagement
ACE - Arena: Cyber Evolution 2014	Est. copies ≈ 59k–96k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Mixed	Early AccessFree to Play
eFootball PES 2021 SEASON UPDATE 2020	Est. copies ≈ 945k–1.5M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	38k reviews Mostly Positive	SportsFootball (Soccer)
Judgeball: Lethal Arena - Early Access 2023	Est. copies ≈ 248–403 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$14.99	10 reviews Positive	Early AccessCasual