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How many copies did Altered sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
from 127 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Altered and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Altered's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–4k
best case 935k (Baba Is You)
Games like Altered

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–4k copies

≈ $6k–$25k after Steam's cut

from ~60 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Baba Is You at ≈ 712k–1.2M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 39 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 94.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (7 of 8) and Sokoban (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

I'm on Observation Duty 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$120k before Steam's cut
$4.99
853 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
A Good Snowman Is Hard To Build
2015
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$241k–$647k after Steam's cut $438k–$996k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CutePuzzle
Jelly Is Sticky
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before Steam's cut
$14.99
145 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleSokoban
Kine
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before Steam's cut
$14.99
126 reviews
Very Positive
SokobanDifficult
Syzygy
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
44 reviews
Positive
PuzzleSokoban
Baba Is You
2019
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
412x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
Alephant
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$17k before Steam's cut
$9.99
60 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleSokoban
Meow Mission
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$3.99
55 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleSokoban

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.