How much revenue did I'm on Observation Duty 4 make?

$29k–$78k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did I'm on Observation Duty 4 sell?

Q: How many copies did I'm on Observation Duty 4 sell?

21k to 34k copies, based on its 853 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 21k–34k; $29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$120k before Steam's cut; from 853 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid I'm on Observation Duty 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including I'm on Observation Duty 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–4.7M

best case 4.1M (Buckshot Roulette)

Games like I'm on Observation Duty 4

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–4.7M copies

≈ $9.1M–$28.8M after Steam's cut

from ~77k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Buckshot Roulette at ≈ 3.1M–5.1M copies, ≈ $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 24k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (4 of 8) and Psychological (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dark + Gambling, priced around $3.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Soundpad 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	UtilitiesAudio Production
SILENT HILL 2 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.7M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $31.4M–$84.4M after Steam's cut $57.1M–$129.8M before Steam's cut	$69.99	66k reviews Very Positive	Psychological Horror Horror
DREDGE 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	57k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationFishing
Cry of Fear 2013	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–9.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	88k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFree to Play
Spec Ops: The Line 2012	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	56k reviews Very Positive	Story RichThird-Person Shooter
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.3M before Steam's cut	$15.99	58k reviews Very Positive	Psychological HorrorAnime
Buckshot Roulette 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.1M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut	$2.99	127k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerDark
Deceit 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	92k reviews Mostly Positive	PvPMultiplayer