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How many copies did Case Opener Guns sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 395–642
$216–$581 after Steam's cut $393–$894 before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Case Opener Guns and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Case Opener Guns's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–36k
best case 862k (Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game)
Games like Case Opener Guns

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–36k copies

≈ $2k–$22k after Steam's cut

from ~152 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game at ≈ 657k–1.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 35 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 3k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Crafting (8 of 8) and Idler (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Idler + Clicker.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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7.0x vs typical
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RPGIdler
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Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game
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175x vs typical
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IdlerAuto Battler

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.