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How many copies did Death to Spies sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 65k–105k
$89k–$238k after Steam's cut $161k–$367k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Death to Spies and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Death to Spies's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.0M–7.3M
best case 10.3M (Batman™: Arkham Knight)
Games like Death to Spies

A typical game among these

≈ 6.0M–7.3M copies

≈ $55.3M–$79.3M after Steam's cut

from ~100k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Batman™: Arkham Knight at ≈ 7.8M–12.7M copies, ≈ $43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third Person (8 of 8) and Open World (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Superhero, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sniper Elite: Resistance
2025
Est. copies
≈ 155k–252k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Batman: Arkham Asylum Game of the Year Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.5M–$82.0M after Steam's cut $55.5M–$126.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
88k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionStealth
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.6M after Steam's cut $78.2M–$177.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
160k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
The Saboteur™
2024
Est. copies
≈ 74k–120k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$202k–$544k after Steam's cut $368k–$837k before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
HITMAN™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
75k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAssassin
Watch_Dogs® 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$59.1M–$158.9M after Steam's cut $107.5M–$244.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
103k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldHacking

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