How much revenue did Watch_Dogs® 2 make?

$59.1M–$158.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Watch_Dogs® 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did Watch_Dogs® 2 sell?

4.3M to 7.0M copies, based on its 103k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.3M–7.0M; $59.1M–$158.9M after Steam's cut $107.5M–$244.4M before Steam's cut; from 103k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Watch_Dogs® 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Watch_Dogs® 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.7M–19.0M

best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)

Games like Watch_Dogs® 2

A typical game among these

≈ 6.7M–19.0M copies

≈ $117.1M–$440.8M after Steam's cut

from ~190k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Exploration (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Mature + Utilities + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Far Cry® 5 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.8M–9.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	190k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction-Adventure
Oxygen Not Included 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
DARK SOULS™ III 2016	Est. copies ≈ 18.3M–29.8M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut	$59.99	441k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015	Est. copies ≈ 11.4M–18.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $188.7M–$507.3M after Steam's cut $343.1M–$780.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	234k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerZombies
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 5.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Assassin's Creed® Origins 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $73.3M–$197.2M after Steam's cut $133.3M–$303.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	129k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAssassin
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $53.7M–$144.2M after Steam's cut $97.5M–$221.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	156k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction