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How many copies did Guntastic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Guntastic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Guntastic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 307–800
best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)
Games like Guntastic

A typical game among these

≈ 307–800 copies

≈ $240–$857 after Steam's cut

from ~16 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 14 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (8 of 8) and 3D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Puzzle + First-Person + Dark Humor; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
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ActionRacing
IMPOSSIBALL
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≈ 25–40
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$14–$36 after Steam's cut $25–$56 before Steam's cut
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1 user reviews
AdventurePlatformer
Bowling Over It
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Est. copies
≈ 576–936
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$632–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
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Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
29202x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sphere Game Epic
2021
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$169–$454 after Steam's cut $307–$699 before Steam's cut
$0.99
25 reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerDifficult
The Edge Ball
2018
Est. copies
≈ 213–346
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7 reviews
7 user reviews
CasualPlatformer
Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.5M–31.6M
35371x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
566k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Ball Boys
2022
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
ActionCasual

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