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How many copies did Gun Chain sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 298–484
$81–$218 after Steam's cut $148–$335 before Steam's cut
from 12 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gun Chain and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gun Chain's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 165k–390k
best case 677k (Bejeweled® 3)
Games like Gun Chain

A typical game among these

≈ 165k–390k copies

≈ $1.1M–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bejeweled® 3 at ≈ 516k–838k copies, ≈ $708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 166 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Match 3 (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Match 3, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wall Shooter
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
IndieVR
Constricting Cubes
2016
Est. copies
≈ 624–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$170–$457 after Steam's cut $309–$703 before Steam's cut
$0.99
15 reviews
Mixed
StrategyAction
Five Nights at Freddy's: Help Wanted 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 134k–218k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
VRHorror
Bejeweled® 3
2010
Est. copies
≈ 516k–838k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$708k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleCasual
The Room VR: A Dark Matter
2020
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$686k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Bubbbles
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before Steam's cut
$4.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
StrategyMatch 3
Zuma's Revenge!
2009
Est. copies
≈ 224k–364k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$307k–$826k after Steam's cut $559k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CasualAction
Boxed In
2017
Est. copies
≈ 413–671
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$567–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
CasualIndie

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