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How many copies did Constricting Cubes sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 624–1k
$170–$457 after Steam's cut $309–$703 before Steam's cut
from 15 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Constricting Cubes and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Constricting Cubes's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 131–532
best case 4k (Rainbow Reactor)
Games like Constricting Cubes

A typical game among these

≈ 131–532 copies

≈ $201–$1k after Steam's cut

from ~12 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rainbow Reactor at ≈ 3k–5k copies, ≈ $13k–$34k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 12.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Match 3 (8 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Match 3, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Music + Rhythm + Arcade; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bubbbles
2022
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before Steam's cut
$4.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
StrategyMatch 3
Puzzle Cafe VR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut
$4.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Match 3Puzzle
Quest for Runia
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
16 reviews
Positive
SingleplayerVR
Wall Shooter
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
IndieVR
JENTRIX
2022
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$927–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$7.99
17 reviews
Positive
CasualBoard Game
Gun Chain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$218 after Steam's cut $148–$335 before Steam's cut
$0.99
12 reviews
Mixed
ActionIndie
Boxed In
2017
Est. copies
≈ 413–671
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$567–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Positive
CasualIndie
Rainbow Reactor
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
8.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut
$14.99
106 reviews
Very Positive
VRAction

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.