How much revenue did Rainbow Reactor make?

$13k–$34k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Rainbow Reactor sell?

Q: How many copies did Rainbow Reactor sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 106 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $13k–$34k after Steam's cut $23k–$52k before Steam's cut; from 106 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rainbow Reactor and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rainbow Reactor's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 832k–9.2M

best case 9.2M (Forza Horizon 5)

Games like Rainbow Reactor

A typical game among these

≈ 832k–9.2M copies

≈ $21.6M–$127.6M after Steam's cut

from ~89k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Racing (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Forza Horizon 5 at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies, ≈ $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 42k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Racing (4 of 8) and VR (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Racing + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wall Shooter 2023	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut	$9.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	IndieVR
ARCADEON VR 2021	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut	$0.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	CasualTurn-Based Tactics
Forza Horizon 5 2021	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.4M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	282k reviews Very Positive	RacingOpen World
Assetto Corsa 2014	Est. copies ≈ 9.8M–15.9M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	175k reviews Very Positive	RacingAutomobile Sim
F1® 22 2022	Est. copies ≈ 634k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	26k reviews Mixed	RacingImmersive Sim
CarX Drift Racing Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 3.1M–5.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut	$16.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RacingPhysics
Quest for Runia 2021	Est. copies ≈ 397–645 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	16 reviews Positive	SingleplayerVR
Project Wingman 2020	Est. copies ≈ 556k–904k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $6.9M–$15.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	22k reviews Very Positive	FlightAction