How much revenue did Lingua Fleur: Lily make?

$9k–$25k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lingua Fleur: Lily sell?

Q: How many copies did Lingua Fleur: Lily sell?

7k to 11k copies, based on its 236 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–11k; $9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut; from 236 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lingua Fleur: Lily and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including Lingua Fleur: Lily's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 380k–458k

best case 2.1M (VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action)

Games like Lingua Fleur: Lily

A typical game among these

≈ 380k–458k copies

≈ $2.6M–$3.8M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 5 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action at ≈ 1.6M–2.6M copies, ≈ $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Visual Novel (4 of 5) and Female Protagonist (3 of 5).
The winners: Winners here lead with Cyberpunk + Visual Novel, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Cyberpunk + Dystopian + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT 2023	Est. copies ≈ 216k–351k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelAnime
VA-11 Hall-A: Cyberpunk Bartender Action 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	39k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CyberpunkVisual Novel
missed messages. 2019	Est. copies ≈ 448k–728k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Free to PlayVisual Novel
Amorous 2018	Est. copies ≈ 316k–514k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
Coffee Talk 2020	Est. copies ≈ 314k–510k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut	$12.99	13k reviews Very Positive	ConversationPixel Graphics