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How many copies did Ring of Pain sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 127k–206k
$697k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ring of Pain and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ring of Pain's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 241k–439k
best case 8.3M (Slay the Spire)
Games like Ring of Pain

A typical game among these

≈ 241k–439k copies

≈ $2.4M–$3.5M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Spire at ≈ 6.3M–10.3M copies, ≈ $43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Roguelike Deckbuilder (6 of 8) and Card Game (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Game, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Card Battler + Turn-Based + Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Across the Obelisk
2022
Est. copies
≈ 326k–529k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
Hand of Fate
2015
Est. copies
≈ 522k–848k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Black Book
2021
Est. copies
≈ 168k–272k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Dicey Dungeons
2019
Est. copies
≈ 343k–558k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler
Hand of Fate 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 200k–326k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Legend Creatures(传奇生物)
2020
Est. copies
≈ 98k–159k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$134k–$361k after Steam's cut $244k–$556k before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationIndie
Book of Demons
2018
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.