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How many copies did Black Book sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 168k–272k
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Black Book and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black Book's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–177k
best case 1.0M (觅长生)
Games like Black Book

A typical game among these

≈ 24k–177k copies

≈ $187k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 觅长生 at ≈ 797k–1.3M copies, ≈ $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 178 to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8) and Roguelike Deckbuilder (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Martial Arts, priced around $15.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Backpack Hero
2023
Est. copies
≈ 212k–344k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Replay ValueTurn-Based
StarVaders
2025
Est. copies
≈ 109k–178k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$751k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UndercoverAgent
2021
Est. copies
≈ 24k–40k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$54k–$145k after Steam's cut $98k–$222k before Steam's cut
$7.99
987 reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Dream Tactics
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$86k–$231k after Steam's cut $156k–$356k before Steam's cut
$17.99
701 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTactical
Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$440k before Steam's cut
$24.99
624 reviews
Mostly Positive
Board GameTurn-Based Tactics
Alina of the Arena
2022
Est. copies
≈ 98k–160k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$406k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $738k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Yohane the Parhelion - NUMAZU in the MIRAGE -
2024
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$151k–$407k after Steam's cut $275k–$626k before Steam's cut
$29.99
740 reviews
Very Positive

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