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How many copies did Dream Tactics sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–28k
$86k–$231k after Steam's cut $156k–$356k before Steam's cut
from 701 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dream Tactics and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dream Tactics's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 696k–943k
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like Dream Tactics

A typical game among these

≈ 696k–943k copies

≈ $2.7M–$5.7M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (4 of 8) and Turn-Based (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Valkyria Chronicles™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 746k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeStrategy
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky
2014
Est. copies
≈ 583k–947k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga
2022
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
48x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Sakura Spirit
2014
Est. copies
≈ 383k–622k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children
2020
Est. copies
≈ 246k–399k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGTactical RPG
Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 216k–351k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.0M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAnime

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