How much revenue did Valkyria Chronicles™ make?

$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Valkyria Chronicles™ sell?

Q: How many copies did Valkyria Chronicles™ sell?

746k to 1.2M copies, based on its 13k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 746k–1.2M; $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.0M before Steam's cut; from 13k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Valkyria Chronicles™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Valkyria Chronicles™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–4.9M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Valkyria Chronicles™

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–4.9M copies

≈ $17.1M–$161.9M after Steam's cut

from ~66k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (3 of 8) and Card Game (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 10x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Dota Underlords 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	91k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Library Of Ruina 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	45k reviews Very Positive	Story RichCard Game
100% Orange Juice 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut	$6.99	30k reviews Very Positive	AnimeBoard Game
POLYGON 2020	Est. copies ≈ 918k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	37k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayFPS
Yu-Gi-Oh! Duel Links 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	45k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayCard Game
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG