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How many copies did Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–25k
$106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$440k before Steam's cut
from 624 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 442k–574k
best case 1.4M (RISK: Global Domination)
Games like Mahokenshi - The Samurai Deckbuilder

A typical game among these

≈ 442k–574k copies

≈ $2.5M–$6.3M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RISK: Global Domination at ≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 835 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (5 of 8) and Turn-Based (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Board Game + Turn-Based Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$6.99
10k reviews
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Board GameTabletop
Blood Bowl 2: Legendary Edition (Classic)
2017
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≈ 316k–513k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
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$29.99
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StrategyMultiplayer
Mordheim: City of the Damned
2015
Est. copies
≈ 413k–671k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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$19.99
8k reviews
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TacticalGames Workshop
RISK: Global Domination
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free
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Free to PlayMultiplayer
5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel
2020
Est. copies
≈ 223k–362k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$11.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
ChessTime Travel
Gloomhaven
2021
Est. copies
≈ 400k–650k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
Dorfromantik
2022
Est. copies
≈ 735k–1.2M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$13.99
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PuzzleRelaxing
Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus
2018
Est. copies
≈ 445k–723k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Warhammer 40KStrategy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.