How much revenue did Gloomhaven make?

$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Gloomhaven sell?

Q: How many copies did Gloomhaven sell?

400k to 650k copies, based on its 16k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 400k–650k; $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut; from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gloomhaven and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gloomhaven's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–15k

best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)

Games like Gloomhaven

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–15k copies

≈ $21k–$134k after Steam's cut

from ~166 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 137 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 268k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Character Customization + Story Rich, priced around $55. The breakout hits carry Character Customization + Story Rich + CRPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.3M–34.6M 5176x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	859k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization
Predictors 2023	Est. copies ≈ 893–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut	$9.99	36 reviews Positive	Turn-Based StrategyRogue-like
Broken Lines 2020	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k 4.2x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $119k–$321k after Steam's cut $217k–$493k before Steam's cut	$24.99	700 reviews Mostly Positive	WarSingleplayer
Village of Zombies 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	72 reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpZombies
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M 292x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	48k reviews Very Positive	Character CustomizationCinematic
Game Master Engine 2021	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	208 reviews Mostly Positive	Dungeons & DragonsLevel Editor
3dSen PC 2025	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $57k–$154k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut	$14.99	559 reviews Very Positive	PlatformerAdventure
Stones Keeper: Director's Cut 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $14k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut	$16.99	124 reviews Mostly Positive	RPGTurn-Based Strategy