How much revenue did Victory Road make?

$26k–$70k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Victory Road sell?

Q: How many copies did Victory Road sell?

5k to 8k copies, based on its 192 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 5k–8k; $26k–$70k after Steam's cut $48k–$108k before Steam's cut; from 192 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Victory Road and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Victory Road's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.4M

best case 9.2M (theHunter: Call of the Wild™)

Games like Victory Road

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.4M copies

≈ $19.0M–$38.1M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: theHunter: Call of the Wild™ at ≈ 7.0M–11.4M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 26k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sports (5 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Hunting + Open World. The breakout hits carry Hunting + Open World + Nature; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 21 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	56k reviews Mostly Positive	Football (American)Football (Soccer)
Golf With Your Friends 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	76k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerCasual
F1® 2020 2020	Est. copies ≈ 990k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	40k reviews Very Positive	RacingSimulation
Football Manager 2020 2019	Est. copies ≈ 912k–1.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	SimulationSports
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
NBA 2K20 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Mixed	BasketballSports
POLYGON 2020	Est. copies ≈ 918k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	37k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayFPS
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.4M 3.8x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	203k reviews Very Positive	HuntingOpen World