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How many copies did The Deep Diving of FloodDragon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 570–927
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 23 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Deep Diving of FloodDragon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Deep Diving of FloodDragon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.0M–5.5M
best case 78.3M (Euro Truck Simulator 2)
Games like The Deep Diving of FloodDragon

A typical game among these

≈ 3.0M–5.5M copies

≈ $21.2M–$51.4M after Steam's cut

from ~112k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Euro Truck Simulator 2 at ≈ 59.7M–97.0M copies, ≈ $328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 24k reviews in their first month; the range was 951 to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Driving + Transportation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Driving + Transportation + Automobile Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

American Truck Simulator
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$45.0M–$120.9M after Steam's cut $81.7M–$186.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
197k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Automobile SimDriving
House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration
Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.9M–$75.0M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
The Sims™ 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
201k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimCharacter Customization
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
8.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Supermarket Simulator
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.5M–$30.9M after Steam's cut $20.9M–$47.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
84k reviews
Very Positive
Supermarket Together
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
100k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationOnline Co-Op
PowerWash Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
59k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualRelaxing

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