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How many copies did Evospace sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$46k–$125k after Steam's cut $84k–$192k before Steam's cut
from 391 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Evospace and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Evospace's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.9M–10.4M
best case 12.3M (Raft)
Games like Evospace

A typical game among these

≈ 3.9M–10.4M copies

≈ $62.4M–$112.5M after Steam's cut

from ~258k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Raft at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 153k reviews in their first month; the range was 20k to 184k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Base-Building (6 of 8) and Crafting (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $20.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Schedule I
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
318k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Scrap Mechanic
2026
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut
$28.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingSandbox
Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–12.9M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
321k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Satisfactory
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6.9M–11.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$76.3M–$205.2M after Steam's cut $138.8M–$315.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingAutomation
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
Medieval Dynasty
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut
$34.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
CraftingBuilding
Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut
$35.00
236k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
Fallout Shelter
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
83k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBase-Building

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.