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How many copies did PGA TOUR 2K21 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 199k–323k
from 8k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid PGA TOUR 2K21 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including PGA TOUR 2K21's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.3M–4.1M
best case 4.9M (EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23)
Games like PGA TOUR 2K21

A typical game among these

≈ 3.3M–4.1M copies

≈ $37.1M–$57.2M after Steam's cut

from ~103k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23 at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 17k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 26k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (6 of 8) and Football (Soccer) (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Sports.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
$16.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingPhysics
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 21
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
56k reviews
Mostly Positive
Football (American)Football (Soccer)
FIFA 22
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
120k reviews
Very Positive
Football (Soccer)Sports
Golf With Your Friends
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.9M–$69.5M after Steam's cut $47.0M–$107.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerCasual
EA SPORTS™ FIFA 23
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
150k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Sports
eFootball™
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
119k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Free to Play
EA SPORTS FC™ 24
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
111k reviews
Mixed
Football (Soccer)Sports

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