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How big is War Selection?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 681k–1.1M
from 24k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid War Selection and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including War Selection's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.7M–3.9M
best case 12.3M (Raft)
Games like War Selection

A typical game among these

≈ 3.7M–3.9M copies

≈ $41.7M–$65.4M after Steam's cut

from ~83k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Raft at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Building (6 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Northgard: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
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$20.1M–$54.1M after Steam's cut $36.6M–$83.2M before Steam's cut
$34.99
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StrategyCity Builder
Raft
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.7M–$139.0M after Steam's cut $94.0M–$213.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
379k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
House Flipper
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
112k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDesign & Illustration
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
Planet Coaster
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$37.2M–$100.0M after Steam's cut $67.6M–$153.8M before Steam's cut
$44.99
72k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationBuilding
Squad
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.0M–9.8M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
244k reviews
Very Positive
MilitaryRealistic
Planet Zoo
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.9M–$93.8M after Steam's cut $63.4M–$144.3M before Steam's cut
$44.99
98k reviews
Very Positive

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