How much revenue did Herd is Coming make?

$463–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Herd is Coming sell?

Q: How many copies did Herd is Coming sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 59 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $463–$1k after Steam's cut $841–$2k before Steam's cut; from 59 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Herd is Coming and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Herd is Coming's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.5M–8.6M

best case 40.1M (Project Zomboid)

Games like Herd is Coming

A typical game among these

≈ 3.5M–8.6M copies

≈ $34.6M–$211.8M after Steam's cut

from ~97k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Project Zomboid at ≈ 30.5M–49.6M copies, ≈ $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 7k to 327k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Survival (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Zombies, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Project Zomboid 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30.5M–49.6M 5.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	483k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
Just Survive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	77k reviews Mixed	ZombiesSurvival
State of Decay 2: Juggernaut Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $14.3M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	70k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	220k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldCo-op
Days Gone 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $32.0M–$86.0M after Steam's cut $58.2M–$132.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	117k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldZombies
No More Room in Hell 2013	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	77k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayZombies
S.T.A.L.K.E.R.: Call of Pripyat 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.9M–$29.4M after Steam's cut $19.9M–$45.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	31k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AtmosphericOpen World
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies