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How many copies did Outbreak: Lost Hope sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 864–1k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 30 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Outbreak: Lost Hope and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Outbreak: Lost Hope's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–6.1M
best case 9.1M (Resident Evil 4)
Games like Outbreak: Lost Hope

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–6.1M copies

≈ $22.7M–$55.5M after Steam's cut

from ~58k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Resident Evil 4 at ≈ 7.0M–11.3M copies, ≈ $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 7 to 68k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Third-Person Shooter (8 of 8) and Horror (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Resident Evil 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.3M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorAction
Dead Space
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut $53.0M–$120.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
71k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorThird-Person Shooter
Resident Evil Revelations 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Mostly Positive
ZombiesHorror
Night Gate
2023
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
27 reviews
Mixed
ActionAdventure
The Callisto Protocol™
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.9M–$48.1M after Steam's cut $32.5M–$74.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
44k reviews
Mixed
HorrorSci-fi
Resident Evil 4 (2005)
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
Inventory ManagementSurvival Horror
Höll Space 5D6
2021
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$476–$1k after Steam's cut $866–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
14 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessThird-Person Shooter
Dead Space™ 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive

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