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How many copies did Dead Space sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
$29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut $53.0M–$120.7M before Steam's cut
from 71k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dead Space and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Dead Space's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–3.7M
best case 7.3M (Resident Evil 4 (2005))
Games like Dead Space

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–3.7M copies

≈ $29.3M–$38.8M after Steam's cut

from ~54k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Resident Evil 4 (2005) at ≈ 5.5M–9.0M copies, ≈ $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (3 of 4) and Survival Horror (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Inventory Management + Survival Horror, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Callisto Protocol™
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.9M–$48.1M after Steam's cut $32.5M–$74.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
44k reviews
Mixed
HorrorSci-fi
Dead Space™ 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
CONTROL Ultimate Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.7M–$47.7M after Steam's cut $32.2M–$73.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSupernatural
Resident Evil 4 (2005)
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
Inventory ManagementSurvival Horror

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