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How many copies did DIRT 5 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 174k–283k
$2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid DIRT 5 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including DIRT 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 41k–251k
best case 237k (Horizon Chase Turbo)
Games like DIRT 5

A typical game among these

≈ 41k–251k copies

≈ $249k–$609k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Horizon Chase Turbo at ≈ 181k–294k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 54 reviews in their first month; the range was 19 to 235.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Sports (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Arcade.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

New Star™ GP
2024
Est. copies
≈ 32k–52k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$89k–$239k after Steam's cut $161k–$367k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
RacingSports
Horizon Chase Turbo
2018
Est. copies
≈ 181k–294k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Very Positive
RacingArcade
High Octane Drift
2016
Est. copies
≈ 244k–397k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Mixed
RacingAutomobile Sim
Sonic & SEGA All-Stars Racing
2010
Est. copies
≈ 224k–363k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$614k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RacingLocal Multiplayer
Toybox Turbos
2014
Est. copies
≈ 104k–169k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
RacingMultiplayer
Zeepkist
2021
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$235k–$633k after Steam's cut $428k–$973k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RacingArcade
Super Indie Karts
2015
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$150k–$404k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut
$19.99
560 reviews
Very Positive
RacingIndie
Rekt: Crash Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
598 reviews
Very Positive
ActionRacing

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