How much revenue did Dark Forest make?

$510–$1k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dark Forest sell?

Q: How many copies did Dark Forest sell?

372 to 605 copies, based on its 15 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 372–605; $510–$1k after Steam's cut $928–$2k before Steam's cut; from 15 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dark Forest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dark Forest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 122–30k

best case 110k (HYPER DEMON)

Games like Dark Forest

A typical game among these

≈ 122–30k copies

≈ $221–$91k after Steam's cut

from ~23 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: HYPER DEMON at ≈ 84k–136k copies, ≈ $345k–$928k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 792.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arena Shooter (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Arena Shooter, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fox4Elite 2023	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $261–$700 after Steam's cut $475–$1k before Steam's cut	$18.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	Arena ShooterHero Shooter
CrimSaw 2024	Est. copies ≈ 595–967 SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $817–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	24 reviews Positive	Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
Nixxsz Maids Blazing 2024	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $54–$146 after Steam's cut $99–$224 before Steam's cut	$1.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	Arena ShooterBoomer Shooter
Drunken Robot Pornography 2014	Est. copies ≈ 37k–60k 29x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $152k–$409k after Steam's cut $277k–$629k before Steam's cut	$14.99	659 reviews Very Positive	Arena ShooterBullet Hell
ONE DAY for Ched 2014	Est. copies ≈ 18k–29k 14x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before Steam's cut	$2.99	320 reviews Mixed	ActionFPS
ZSG 2024	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $41–$110 after Steam's cut $74–$169 before Steam's cut	$1.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	AdventureCasual
Grandma's Cheese 2023	Est. copies ≈ 521–846 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $142–$381 after Steam's cut $258–$586 before Steam's cut	$0.99	21 reviews Positive	Action3D Fighter
HYPER DEMON 2022	Est. copies ≈ 84k–136k 150x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $345k–$928k after Steam's cut $628k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	FPSArena Shooter