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How many copies did Fox4Elite sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$261–$700 after Steam's cut $475–$1k before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fox4Elite and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fox4Elite's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k
best case 206k (Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok)
Games like Fox4Elite

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $2k–$6k after Steam's cut

from ~67 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok at ≈ 157k–256k copies, ≈ $432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 34 reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 4k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arena Shooter (7 of 8) and Bullet Hell (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Arena Shooter, priced around $10.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Valkyrie Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$3.99
38 reviews
Mostly Positive
Arena ShooterHero Shooter
Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok
2024
Est. copies
≈ 157k–256k
95x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$432k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $786k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Endless Furry Killer 3D
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$1.99
83 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAdventure
Devader
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$7.99
55 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Kvark
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$69k–$185k after Steam's cut $125k–$284k before Steam's cut
$19.99
504 reviews
Very Positive
FPSShooter
Void Prison
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$2.99
99 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeBullet Hell
Black Gunner Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut
$9.99
487 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
Headbangers in Holiday Hell
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$6.99
67 reviews
Very Positive
Hero ShooterAction Roguelike

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.