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How many copies did Forgotten Fables: Wolves on the Westwind sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut
from 82 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Forgotten Fables: Wolves on the Westwind and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Forgotten Fables: Wolves on the Westwind's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 418k–531k
best case 1.9M (The Henry Stickmin Collection)
Games like Forgotten Fables: Wolves on the Westwind

A typical game among these

≈ 418k–531k copies

≈ $3.1M–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Henry Stickmin Collection at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 332 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (8 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter, priced around $18. The breakout hits carry Horror + Multiple Endings; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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FunnyMultiple Endings

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