How much revenue did STUMPER make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did STUMPER sell?

Q: How many copies did STUMPER sell?

720 to 1k copies, based on its 25 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 720–1k; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut; from 25 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid STUMPER and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including STUMPER's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 62k–195k

best case 2.9M (Beat Saber)

Games like STUMPER

A typical game among these

≈ 62k–195k copies

≈ $612k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Beat Saber at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Rhythm, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Moddable + Fast-Paced + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Audioshield 2016	Est. copies ≈ 114k–185k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $626k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	IndieVR
Paradiddle 2022	Est. copies ≈ 17k–28k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $117k–$314k after Steam's cut $212k–$483k before Steam's cut	$24.99	685 reviews Very Positive	VRMusic
BOXVR 2019	Est. copies ≈ 47k–76k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	SportsIndie
Just Dance 2017 2016	Est. copies ≈ 84k–136k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	2k reviews Mostly Positive	MusicMultiplayer
McOsu 2017	Est. copies ≈ 220k–358k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Very Positive	RhythmFree to Play
Thumper 2016	Est. copies ≈ 184k–299k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Very Positive	RhythmIndie
Synth Riders 2019	Est. copies ≈ 48k–78k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $332k–$892k after Steam's cut $603k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	VRRhythm
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M 38x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm