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How big is SUPER RECOILFIGHT?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 2k–4k
from 100 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SUPER RECOILFIGHT and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SUPER RECOILFIGHT's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6k–1.4M
best case 3.5M (Totally Accurate Battlegrounds)
Games like SUPER RECOILFIGHT

A typical game among these

≈ 6k–1.4M copies

≈ $13k–$5.0M after Steam's cut

from ~386 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Totally Accurate Battlegrounds at ≈ 2.7M–4.3M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 69.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Physics (5 of 8) and Sports (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Physics + Character Customization.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Amazing Frog?
2014
Est. copies
≈ 656k–1.1M
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Early Access4 Player Local
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
227x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
88k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
Gang Beasts
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
175x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.4M after Steam's cut $23.2M–$52.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyPhysics
Golfing in Aether
2022
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
22 reviews
Positive
Mini GolfGolf
Screaming Chicken: Ultimate Showdown
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
254 reviews
Mixed
CasualMultiplayer
Nippon Marathon
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$45k–$120k after Steam's cut $81k–$185k before Steam's cut
$14.99
357 reviews
Very Positive
SportsIndie
Mount Your Friends 3D: A Hard Man is Good to Climb
2018
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut
$6.99
415 reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerPhysics
Smash Crates
2022
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
MultiplayerFunny

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