How much revenue did Amazing Frog? make?

$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Amazing Frog? sell?

Q: How many copies did Amazing Frog? sell?

656k to 1.1M copies, based on its 12k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 656k–1.1M; $3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$14.9M before Steam's cut; from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Amazing Frog? and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Amazing Frog?'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 102k–9.5M

best case 27.0M (BeamNG.drive)

Games like Amazing Frog?

A typical game among these

≈ 102k–9.5M copies

≈ $427k–$95.8M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.5M–33.4M copies, ≈ $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 102 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 30k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	204k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M 6.3x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M 12x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
Totally Reliable Delivery Service Beta 2019	Est. copies ≈ 99k–161k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	3k reviews Very Positive	ActionIndie
Totally Reliable Delivery Service 2021	Est. copies ≈ 56k–91k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $232k–$623k after Steam's cut $421k–$958k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionSandbox
Amazing Frog? 2 2022	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $106k–$286k after Steam's cut $193k–$439k before Steam's cut	$19.99	779 reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessOpen World
DRIFTHUB 2023	Est. copies ≈ 174–282 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $47–$127 after Steam's cut $86–$195 before Steam's cut	$0.99	7 reviews 7 user reviews	Immersive SimRacing
Wobbly Life 2025	Est. copies ≈ 899k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	36k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureMultiplayer