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How many copies did Totally Reliable Delivery Service Beta sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99k–161k
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Totally Reliable Delivery Service Beta and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Totally Reliable Delivery Service Beta's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–7.3M
best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)
Games like Totally Reliable Delivery Service Beta

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–7.3M copies

≈ $32.2M–$57.6M after Steam's cut

from ~130k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Physics (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 122k reviews in their first month; the range was 67k to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Physics (4 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Moddable, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry First-Person + Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Scrap Mechanic
2026
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut
$28.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingSandbox
Garry's Mod
2006
Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
9.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.3M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxModdable
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.5M–15.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
227k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
R.E.P.O.
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10.6M–17.2M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
427k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Space Engineers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.3M–$57.3M after Steam's cut $38.7M–$88.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
135k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceSandbox
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Portal 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 29.5M–48.0M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
467k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Stick Fight: The Game
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
125k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFunny

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