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How many copies did Serin Fate sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 14k–23k
$78k–$211k after Steam's cut $143k–$324k before Steam's cut
from 575 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Serin Fate and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Serin Fate's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 101k–344k
best case 16.0M (Palworld)
Games like Serin Fate

A typical game among these

≈ 101k–344k copies

≈ $951k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Palworld at ≈ 12.2M–19.8M copies, ≈ $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 485 to 469k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Creature Collector (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Survival, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Survival + Multiplayer + Open World Survival Craft; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
78x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Little Witch in the Woods
2025
Est. copies
≈ 327k–532k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessCute
Alba: A Wildlife Adventure
2020
Est. copies
≈ 208k–339k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$974k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.0M before Steam's cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualWholesome
Monster Sanctuary
2020
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorPixel Graphics
Paleo Pines
2023
Est. copies
≈ 67k–109k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$552k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursFarming Sim
Loddlenaut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 157k–255k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$863k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UnderwaterRelaxing
Yaoling: Mythical Journey
2025
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$479k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $872k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessStrategy
Planet Centauri
2024
Est. copies
≈ 59k–96k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$245k–$658k after Steam's cut $445k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
ExplorationSandbox

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.